Marseillevs
Atletico Madrid
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 8/14/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Marseille · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Marseille are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atletico Madrid are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.5 against 54.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Marseille holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Marseille
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
14.3%
Marseille has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20