Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AVS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Maritimo are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while AVS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AVS hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 61.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while AVS holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AVS
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
14.2%
AVS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80