Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tenerife · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Marino are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tenerife are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tenerife hold a 43.5-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Tenerife holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tenerife
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
9.5%
Tenerife has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20