GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/18/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sporting Gijon · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Marino de Luanco are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sporting Gijon are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting Gijon hold a 31.4-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 49.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sporting Gijon holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sporting Gijon

Probability

36.9%

Model confidence

36.9%

Sporting Gijon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Marino de LuancoLWWDW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sporting GijonWWWLL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Marino de LuancoSporting Gijon
16.7Attack19.0
16.7Defence85.7
0.0Form38.1
18.3Power49.8
1.06xG1.33
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