Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brusque · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Maringá are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Brusque are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Brusque hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (49.7 v 57.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Serie C, while Brusque holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Brusque
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
13.1%
Brusque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20