Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Marine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Marine are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Bootle are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bootle hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Marine holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Marine
Probability
34.7%
Model confidence
34.7%
Marine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40