Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maribor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Maribor are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Vojvodina are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Maribor hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (68.7 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Maribor holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maribor
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Maribor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80