GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maribor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Maribor are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Železničar Pančevo are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Maribor hold a 27.6-point power-rating edge (68.7 v 41.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Maribor holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maribor

Probability

60.7%

Model confidence

60.7%

Maribor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MariborDWLLL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Železničar PančevoLDDDD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MariborŽelezničar Pančevo
86.1Attack61.1
52.8Defence11.1
66.7Form44.4
68.7Power41.2
4.50xG1.43
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