Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maribor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Maribor are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Charlton are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 68.7 against 68.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Maribor holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maribor
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Maribor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40