GGOALVIO

Georgia · Liga 3 · 5/28/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Saburtalo II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Margveti 2006 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Saburtalo II are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Saburtalo II hold a 29.7-point power-rating edge (37.6 v 67.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.3% in the Liga 3, while Saburtalo II holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Saburtalo II

Probability

68.3%

Model confidence

68.3%

Saburtalo II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Margveti 2006LLWLL

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Saburtalo IIWWWDW

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Margveti 2006Saburtalo II
33.3Attack52.9
37.3Defence80.4
35.3Form68.6
37.6Power67.3
0.54xG2.00
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