Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Margate · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Margate are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Dover are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Margate hold a 25.6-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 33.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Margate holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Margate
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Margate has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40