GGOALVIO

Turkey · 1. Lig · 8/16/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Antalyaspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Mardin 1969 are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Antalyaspor are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Antalyaspor hold a 26.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 72.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the 1. Lig, while Antalyaspor holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Antalyaspor

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

13.6%

Antalyaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mardin BBDWDDD

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AntalyasporWWLDL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Mardin BBAntalyaspor
0.0Attack100.0
100.0Defence0.0
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power72.0
1.33xG1.36
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