GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 8/16/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Marconi Stallions · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Marconi Stallions are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sutherland Sharks are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Marconi Stallions hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (67.0 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the New South Wales NPL, while Marconi Stallions holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Marconi Stallions

Probability

56.1%

Model confidence

13.4%

Marconi Stallions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Marconi StallionsLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sutherland SharksDWWDL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Marconi StallionsSutherland Sharks
58.0Attack53.1
74.1Defence58.0
67.9Form53.1
67.0Power56.3
1.64xG0.79
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