Marcílio DiasvsPortuguesa

Marcílio Dias are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Portuguesa are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Portuguesa hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (54.5 v 65.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.5% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.