Marcílio Diasvs
Cascavel
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 6/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Marcílio Dias are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cascavel are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.5 against 52.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.3% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00