Marcílio DiasvsBrasil DE Pelotas

Marcílio Dias are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Brasil DE Pelotas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Marcílio Dias hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (54.5 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.