Marcílio Diasvs
Blumenau
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 4/25/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Marcílio Dias are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Blumenau are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Blumenau hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (54.5 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
48.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60