GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie C · 4/25/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Maranhão are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Volta Redonda are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Maranhão hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (49.0 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

48.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MaranhãoLLDLW

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Volta RedondaWLLDD

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
MaranhãoVolta Redonda
27.1Attack22.9
68.8Defence56.3
43.8Form37.5
49.0Power41.3
0.78xG0.40
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