Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
26%
HighconfidenceMaranhão are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Brusque are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and brusque hold a 8.6-point power-rating edge (49.0 v 57.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Serie C, favouring a draw with 25.7% confidence, a 26% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
25.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MaranhãoDWLDL
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BrusqueWLWLW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MaranhãoBrusque
27.1Attack45.8
68.8Defence64.6
43.8Form56.3
49.0Power57.6
0.60xG0.81