Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MaPS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
MaPS are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while ÅIFK are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and MaPS hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 51.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.2% in the Suomen Cup, while MaPS holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
MaPS
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
7.2%
MaPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40