Mantovavs
Athletic Carpi
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 8/9/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Mantova are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Athletic Carpi are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Friendlies Clubs, favouring a draw with 10.4% confidence, a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
24.4%
Model confidence
10.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60