Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mantova · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Mantova are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Alcione are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 16.3 against 15.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mantova
Probability
35.8%
Model confidence
35.8%
Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20