GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 4/5/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Manta FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tecnico Universitario are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Tecnico Universitario hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (35.4 v 41.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.6%

Model confidence

46.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Manta FCLLWDL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Tecnico UniversitarioLWWDD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Manta FCTecnico Universitario
15.3Attack27.8
58.3Defence55.6
23.6Form36.1
35.4Power41.6
0.70xG0.65
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