Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Manta FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Orense SC are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Orense SC hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (35.4 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80