Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Macara · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Manta FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Macara are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Macara hold a 21.6-point power-rating edge (35.4 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Liga Pro, while Macara holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Macara
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Macara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60