GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 8/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Manta FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Leones del Norte are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones del Norte hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (35.4 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.6% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

27.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Manta FCWLLLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Leones del NorteLDLWD

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Manta FCLeones del Norte
15.3Attack33.3
58.3Defence65.3
23.6Form44.4
35.4Power49.4
0.53xG0.79
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