Manta FCvs
Leones del Norte
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 8/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Manta FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Leones del Norte are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones del Norte hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (35.4 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.6% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
27.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20