Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Manta FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Delfin SC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Delfin SC hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (35.4 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60