GGOALVIO

England · League Cup · 8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sheffield Utd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mansfield Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Sheffield Utd are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sheffield Utd hold a 90.0-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the League Cup, while Sheffield Utd holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sheffield Utd

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

45.7%

Sheffield Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mansfield TownLWLWD

GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Sheffield UtdDWWWD

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Mansfield TownSheffield Utd
0.0Attack100.0
0.0Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
7.0Power97.0
1.18xG1.76
View match centre →