GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 7/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sutherland Sharks · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Manly United are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sutherland Sharks are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sutherland Sharks hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (48.9 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the New South Wales NPL, while Sutherland Sharks holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sutherland Sharks

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

37.3%

Sutherland Sharks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Manly UnitedWDWDL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Sutherland SharksWWWLW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Manly UnitedSutherland Sharks
39.3Attack53.1
58.3Defence58.0
45.2Form53.1
48.9Power56.3
1.05xG1.25
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