GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 8/15/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Manly United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Manly United are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while NWS Spirit are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Manly United hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the New South Wales NPL, while Manly United holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Manly United

Probability

44.8%

Model confidence

14.9%

Manly United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Manly UnitedWDWDW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NWS SpiritWLLLW

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Manly UnitedNWS Spirit
40.7Attack38.3
61.7Defence54.3
46.9Form42.0
51.0Power46.2
1.23xG0.80
View match centre →