Manchester Unitedvs
Leeds
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 8/12/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manchester United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Leeds are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Manchester United are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Leeds holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Manchester United
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
10.4%
Manchester United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00