Manchester Unitedvs
Atletico Madrid
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 8/1/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Madrid · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Manchester United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Atletico Madrid are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Madrid hold a 31.0-point power-rating edge (52.5 v 83.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Atletico Madrid holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico Madrid
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Atletico Madrid has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60