Manchester Unitedvs
AC Milan
SCHEDULEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 8/15/2026, 2:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manchester United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Manchester United are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while AC Milan are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Manchester United holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Manchester United
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
10.4%
Manchester United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00