GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/1/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Inter · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Manchester City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Inter are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Inter hold a 22.5-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 68.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Inter holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Inter

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Inter has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Manchester CityLDWWD

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
InterWDDWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Manchester CityInter
91.7Attack46.7
8.3Defence73.3
33.3Form73.3
45.9Power68.4
1.69xG2.03
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