Manchester Cityvs
Atletico Madrid
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Manchester City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atletico Madrid are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Friendlies Clubs, favouring a draw with 10.4% confidence, a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
24.4%
Model confidence
10.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60