Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Manaus FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Londrina are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Londrina hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Copa Do Brasil, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60