Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manauara · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Manauara are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Manaus FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Manauara hold a 24.9-point power-rating edge (66.8 v 41.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.3% in the Serie D, while Manauara holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Manauara
Probability
57.3%
Model confidence
57.3%
Manauara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20