Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manauara · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Manauara are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while GAS are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Manauara hold a 35.5-point power-rating edge (66.8 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.6% in the Serie D, while Manauara holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Manauara
Probability
69.6%
Model confidence
69.6%
Manauara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60