Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Managua · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Managua are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Jalapa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Managua hold a 60.3-point power-rating edge (94.1 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.1% in the Primera Division, while Managua holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Managua
Probability
64.1%
Model confidence
64.1%
Managua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80