Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uberaba · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Mamoré are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Uberaba are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Uberaba hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 64.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.0% in the Mineiro - 2, while Uberaba holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Uberaba
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
22.0%
Uberaba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80