Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Mamoré are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while CAP are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Mamoré hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 26.7% in the Mineiro - 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
26.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60