GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 5/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mamelodi Sundowns · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mamelodi Sundowns are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while RB Leipzig are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and RB Leipzig hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 50.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Mamelodi Sundowns holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mamelodi Sundowns

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

Mamelodi Sundowns has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mamelodi SundownsLWDWW

GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RB LeipzigLWLWW

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Mamelodi SundownsRB Leipzig
41.7Attack50.0
66.7Defence50.0
33.3Form50.0
47.1Power50.5
1.61xG1.33
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