Mamelodi Sundownsvs
Polokwane City
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · 8 Cup · 8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Mamelodi Sundowns are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Polokwane City are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Mamelodi Sundowns hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the 8 Cup, favouring a draw with 10.3% confidence, a 64% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
23.2%
Model confidence
10.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/1.50