GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/27/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mamelodi Sundowns · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mamelodi Sundowns are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while MC Alger are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mamelodi Sundowns hold a 21.0-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 26.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Mamelodi Sundowns holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mamelodi Sundowns

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

Mamelodi Sundowns has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mamelodi SundownsLDWLW

GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MC AlgerWLDWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Mamelodi SundownsMC Alger
41.7Attack16.7
66.7Defence33.3
33.3Form16.7
47.1Power26.2
1.89xG1.16
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