GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria Premier League 2 · 5/2/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Malvern · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Mediumconfidence

Malvern are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Springvale are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Malvern hold a 30.4-point power-rating edge (72.0 v 41.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.0% in the Victoria Premier League 2, while Malvern holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Malvern

Probability

84.6%

Model confidence

11.0%

Malvern has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MalvernDWWWW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SpringvaleWLDDL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MalvernSpringvale
84.7Attack40.3
59.7Defence38.9
73.6Form40.3
72.0Power41.6
3.67xG0.83
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