Malvernvs
Moreland City
COMPLETEDAustralia · Victoria Premier League 2 · 7/18/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malvern · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Malvern are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Moreland City are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Malvern hold a 42.9-point power-rating edge (72.0 v 29.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 88.5% in the Victoria Premier League 2, while Malvern holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Malvern
Probability
88.5%
Model confidence
88.5%
Malvern has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60