Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gais · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Malmo FF are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Gais are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.8 against 54.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the Allsvenskan, while Gais holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gais
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
13.7%
Gais has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40