GGOALVIO

Sweden · Allsvenskan · 8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Malmo FF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Malmo FF are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Degerfors IF are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Malmo FF hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 35.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.4% in the Allsvenskan, while Malmo FF holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Malmo FF

Probability

70.7%

Model confidence

11.4%

Malmo FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Malmo FFWLDWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Degerfors IFLLLLL

GF 0 · GA 10 · avg 0.00/2.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Malmo FFDegerfors IF
64.6Attack29.2
43.8Defence43.8
47.9Form27.1
52.8Power35.7
2.47xG0.86
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