Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mallorca · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Mallorca are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Al-Fateh are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mallorca hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (83.8 v 70.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Mallorca holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mallorca
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
Mallorca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20