Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malisheva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Malisheva are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Hibernian are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Hibernian hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (55.2 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Malisheva holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Malisheva
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Malisheva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00